The Lindy Effect concept apparently has its roots resulting from comedians meeting at Lindy’s Diner in New York in the 1960’s trying to figure out how long TV shows would last. They eventually hit upon the idea that unlike real life were new born physical life tends live longer that mature adults. TV shows tend to live longer if they have been around a few years, while new shows tend to be canceled rather quickly.
In Nassim Taleb’s 2012 book Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder Mr. Taleb explicitly referred to his idea as the Lindy Effect, and incorporated it into his broader theory of the Antifragile.”
By using the term Antifragile, Taleb makes the case that something that gets stronger from stress is the opposite of fragile, rather than something that simply will not break under stress. In other words, a coffee mug that is antifragile would become stronger every time it was dropped rather than simply not break. Very few things in our world work this way but those that do should be pursued. Obviously, something that is stronger after being stressed will last a long time. In other words, it meets the criteria for the Lindy effect.
Mr.Taleb give us the following quote which took my brain immediately to the world’s best-selling book!
“If a book has been in print for forty years, I can expect it to be in print for another forty years. But, and that is the main difference, if it survives another decade, then it will be expected to be in print another fifty years. This, simply, as a rule, tells you why things that have been around for a long time are not “aging” like persons, but “aging” in reverse.”
Indeed, the Bible meets the Lindy effect criteria and I dare say the 7 and 50 rhymes the bible contains will make its adherents antifragile. Therefore, I would propose that the Bible is the ultimate in terms of the Lindy Effect, its enduring quality is without a doubt second to none. Used properly biblical instructions have the ability to make every aspect of our lives antifragile.
So here is the jump or the pitch if you will: One of the most Antifragile people of the bible is the Proverbs 31 woman. I have been asked to speak at the Women of Valor conference in Lucas, Kentucky in early August. This year the conference is open to husbands as well, I hope you can join Audrey and I at the event.
See link below
With Shavuot /Pentecost behind us it is time to prepare for Year Seven. If you are one of the people who have experienced some kind of windfall or some type of manna from heaven in the last 6 months, the best advice I can give is gather quickly and humbly begin to prepare for what is next, think again about that biggest dream. Is this autumn the moment?
In the last post I suggested that we are living in the days of Genesis 31. Is there any doubt that Laban’s sons are not so happy with us? What knowledge has been acquired in the last 6 years? Is the family unit united? It may be time to stake the claim, to move to that new situation. It may be time to risk the known for the possible, the comfortable for the dream of a lifetime.
Will a door swing open? If it does will we be ready? Be wise, be bold, be brave and most of all be humble.
If you are coming to Revive stop by my book table, I look forward to seeing each of you.
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It’s no secret, I think we are in “YEAR SIX” of the “SIXTH 7-YEAR CYCLE”. If you scroll around this website or read my book you will figure out why that is the case. To have this conversation almost requires a new language or mind set.
Last Fall Audrey and I spent 28 days in Israel. We marched in the Parade of Nations in Jerusalem during Feast of Tabernacles, we hiked the Akrabim Ascent also known as the Scorpion’s pass and volunteered at Biblical Tamar Park serving others traveling in Israel.
The trip was somewhat of a 60th birthday present to myself and I had a sense that the Year Five just then beginning was significant.
I had a chance to speak to a tour group at Biblical Tamar Park and my advice to them was that the upcoming Year Five will be dangerous, be alert and take care of your relationships. I had no idea how accurate those words would sound a year later.
Fifty years ago, in the spring of 1970 the stable American life of the post-World War Two was being shattered by Vietnam War protests on college campuses all across the land. Culminating with the shooting at Kent State where 4 students died in a National Guard fiasco that still wrinkles brows to this day.
100 years ago we had race riots and the red scare (Russia had just become the Soviet Union) and the world was just recovering from the influenza pandemic of 1918-19; which killed 40 million people, including 675,000 Americans.
So here we are March 2020.
The market crashed, and the world is in a panic about a virus and on a personal level my father passed away unexpectedly. Welcome to early spring of Year 5 of Shemitah Cycle 6.
Last year for one reason or another (I cannot recall why) I picked up a copy of Peter Drucker’s book Innovation and Entrepreneurship. I was amazed when I found this title to the second chapter, “Purposeful Innovation and the Seven Sources for Innovative Opportunity”.
Old does not equal obsolete! Many ancient ideas are of great value. Some of those ideas have been ignored so long that they have been forgotten completely by most of humanity. It is now clear that this ignorance has yielded great losses and even worse this oversight has cost us many opportunities for creativity, progress and generosity.
This website uses Bible, Business and History to better inform our decision making . I bring in my spiritual life and thoughts with some trepidation as one of the things I value greatly in life is credibility. It must be recognized that many hucksters and less than honorable persons have used their so-called faith to gain the trust of naive individuals however, it is also fair to point out that we live in a society which scorns religious hypocrisy to such a degree that many times our culture has become scornful of true faith as well.
I will leave it up to you dear reader to decide what camp to put me in, just know this; it would be easier to keep these opinions to myself. However, in order to have a clear conscience before my Creator I am posting these ideas based on the ancient sources. Let it be known that I did what I could to inform my generation of his amazing patterns and that these patterns have the ability to improve lives and increase creativity.
Last year I told a business group that if these ideas had been found in Mayan temple in South America our modern media would hold this information in high regard but since it is in your grandmother’s bible it’s thought of little value.
We live in a busy world and it’s hard to get people’s attention.
I tried to create a “one minute” to encourage a unique reading of the book of Genesis. The video ended up being 76 seconds.
If you take the 76 seconds to watch, I am hopeful you will want to watch the 5 minute version as well. Click below for a 76 second unique outlook on the book of Genesis
Click here for the five minute version
Be awake out there!
As a young man playing softball this call from the coach to his infielders, was often heard when runners were in scoring position. From my third baseman position the call for alertness was certainly appropriate as the action at third base can be very quick for good or for bad. The transition from Year Four to Year Five remind me of those defensive innings near the third base bag.
Oh boy! I have been wondering about this one for a long time. What will it bring? How can I be ready? If Year Four was a year to set standards and it was, will the standards set in Year Four hold up when the Fifth-Year birds and fish emerge?
Symbolically let’s review what the Fifth-Day birds and fish represent. This new life is going to be powerful, beautiful, mobile with mouths and teeth. Year Five may carry temptation toward pride, cockiness and conceit if by some means one finds themselves in possession of this new life. On the other hand, the new life of Year Five may bite, harm and destroy leaving an individual wondering what happened?